Risk scores for type 2 diabetes mellitus in Latin America: a systematic review of population-based studies.

AIM: To summarize the evidence on diabetes risk scores for Latin American populations. METHODS: A systematic review was conducted (CRD42019122306) looking for diagnostic and prognostic models for type 2 diabetes mellitus among randomly selected adults in Latin America. Five databases (LILACS, Scopus, MEDLINE, Embase and Global Health) were searched. type 2 diabetes mellitus was defined using at least one blood biomarker and the reports needed to include information on the development and/or validation of a multivariable regression model. Risk of bias was assessed using the PROBAST guidelines. RESULTS: Of the 1500 reports identified, 11 were studied in detail and five were included in the qualitative analysis. Two reports were from Mexico, two from Peru and one from Brazil. The number of diabetes cases varied from 48 to 207 in the derivations models, and between 29 and 582 in the validation models. The most common predictors were age, waist circumference and family history of diabetes, and only one study used oral glucose tolerance test as the outcome. The discrimination performance across studies was ~ 70% (range: 66-72%) as per the area under the receiving-operator curve, the highest metric was always the negative predictive value. Sensitivity was always higher than specificity. CONCLUSION: There is no evidence to support the use of one risk score throughout Latin America. The development, validation and implementation of risk scores should be a research and public health priority in Latin America to improve type 2 diabetes mellitus screening and prevention.

How can we identify candidates at highest risk--to screen or not to screen?

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) causes a large economic and health-care burden globally. This article summarizes the benefits and unsolved questions of screening for T2D. Many T2D risk assessment tools have been developed. Furthermore, current evidence has shown that T2D can be prevented by lifestyle interventions, justifying T2D screening. However, information is scarce on the long-term impact of T2D screening regarding health outcomes such as cardiovascular disease. Moreover, it is not certain whether health-care facilities and health-care staff are capable of implementing screening activities and subsequent interventions among high-risk individuals; lifestyle management tasks in particular are often not among the best skills that health-care personnel possess. Also, there is a lack of evidence for the periodicity of population-wide screening activities. As national health-care systems increasingly implement T2D screening, we may receive in the near future answers to some of our remaining research questions to fully assess the benefits and disadvantages of screening.

The effects of control of systolic and diastolic hypertension on cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in a community-based population cohort.

The objective of this study (follow-up of 26,113 people) was to investigate differences in the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality among hypertensive people according to the control of systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP). People with a history of coronary heart disease, heart failure, cancer or incomplete data at baseline (n=1113) were excluded from the study. The participants were classified into six groups according to their blood pressure status. Treated hypertensive individuals with controlled SBP and DBP did not experience an increase in all-cause mortality compared with normotensive people. The increase in all-cause mortality was 1.48-fold (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09-2.01) among those who were treated with antihypertensive drugs and had only their DBP controlled and 1.45-fold (95% CI 1.04-2.02) among those who were treated and had only their SBP controlled. Treated patients with both SBP and DBP controlled did not have an increased risk of CVD mortality when compared with normotensive people. The risk of CVD mortality was statistically significantly higher in treated hypertensive people with SBP alone, DBP alone or both SBP and DBP uncontrolled. Our study indicates that uncontrolled SBP alone and DBP alone are risk factors of all-cause and CVD mortality.

Despite evidence-based guidelines, systolic blood pressure remains inadequately controlled in older hypertensive adults.

We aimed to assess the trends in the prevalence, awareness, treatment and control of hypertension in Finnish men and women aged 60-74 years. Three independent cross-sectional population surveys were conducted in 1997, 2002 and 2007 in the province of North Karelia and the region of Helsinki-Vantaa. Random samples were selected from the national population register. The total number of participants was 3282. In 2007, the prevalence of hypertension was 79% in men and 78% in women. The mean systolic blood pressure (SBP) (in men, 151 mm Hg in 1997, 148 mm Hg in 2002 and 149 mm Hg in 2007; in women 150, 149 and 149 mm Hg, respectively) and prevalence of hypertension (77% in 1997, 74% in 2002 and 79% in 2007 in men; 75, 75 and 78% in women, respectively) remained stable. The mean diastolic blood pressure (BP) decreased in both genders. Awareness of hypertension increased from 60 to 71% in men (P<0.001 for trend) and from 66 to 76% (P=0.012) in women. The prevalence of antihypertensive drug treatment among hypertensive people increased from 35 to 56% in both genders (P<0.001). The proportion of treated hypertensive patients with adequately controlled BP increased from 16 to 32% in men (P<0.001) and from 16 to 30% in women (P=0.003). Hypertension care in older adults has improved in Finland during 1997 to 2007. The situation is not optimal: the main problem in this age group is high SBP.

The effects of awareness, treatment and control of hypertension on cardiovascular and all-cause mortality in a community-based population.

The objective of this prospective follow-up study (median follow-up time 20 years) was to investigate whether there are differences in cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality among hypertensive men and women by awareness, treatment and blood pressure (BP) control status. The study was carried out among 20,358 men and 21,537 women aged 25-64 years living in Eastern and south-western Finland within the framework of the North Karelia Project and the Finrisk studies. Risk factors of CVD and life-style habits were assessed by a self-administered questionnaire, BP and laboratory measurements. The participants were classified into five groups according to their BP status: (i) normotensive, (ii) patients treated with antihypertensive drugs and controlled for HT, (iii) patients treated with antihypertensive drugs but uncontrolled for HT, (iv) hypertensive people aware of their HT but untreated, (v) hypertensive people unaware of their hypertension (HT). In men, all-cause and CVD mortality was significantly higher in all HT subgroups compared with the normotensive group. The risk increase for CVD mortality was 49-125% and 27-79% for all-cause mortality, respectively. Treated and controlled hypertensive women at baseline did not have any increase in CVD (hazard ratio (HR) 1.14; 95% CI 0.89-1.46) or all-cause mortality (HR 1.09; 95% CI 0.72-1.67) compared with normotensive women. In men, however, the corresponding HR were 1.58 (95% CI 1.28-1.96) for CVD and 2.25 (95% CI 1.70-2.99) for all-cause mortality. Treated hypertensive women seem to benefit from achieving normal BP.

The European perspective of type 2 diabetes prevention: diabetes in Europe--prevention using lifestyle, physical activity and nutritional intervention (DE-PLAN) project.

BACKGROUND: The prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) has dramatically increased in Europe, and the age-at-diagnosis has become younger. Action is needed now to develop targeted prevention management program for T2D. The DE-PLAN ("Diabetes in Europe - Prevention using Lifestyle, Physical Activity and Nutritional intervention") project, led by the University of Helsinki is currently addressing this major public health concern in Europe. METHODS: The DE-PLAN project aims at developing and testing models of efficient identification and intervention of individuals at high risk of type 2 diabetes in the community. It conducts a lifestyle modification intervention in people at high risk for T2D. Furthermore, it tests the feasibility and cost-effectiveness of the translation of the current research evidence about preventive intervention program into clinical settings within existing health care systems in 17 European countries. RESULTS: This 3-year project spanning has commenced mid-2005. By now, 25 institutions from 17 countries are involved. CONCLUSION: The development of efficient screening strategies for type 2 diabetes risk as well as the development of core intervention strategies for the primary prevention of type 2 diabetes should significantly enhance the ability of health care professionals to respond swiftly to the drastic increase of T2D and its burden to the society.

The effects of physical activity and body mass index on cardiovascular, cancer and all-cause mortality among 47 212 middle-aged Finnish men and women.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of physical activity and body mass index (BMI), and their combined effect, with the risk of total, cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer mortality. DESIGN: Prospective follow-up study. SUBJECTS: In all, 22 528 men and 24 684 women aged 25-64 y at baseline having 7394 deaths during a mean follow-up of 17.7 y. MEASUREMENT: A self-administered questionnaire data on smoking, socioeconomic factors, physical activity and medical history, together with measured height, weight, blood pressure and serum cholesterol using standardized protocol. RESULT: Physically active subjects had significantly lower age-adjusted mortality from cardiovascular, cancer and all causes compared with sedentary ones. Further adjustment for smoking, systolic blood pressure, cholesterol, BMI, diabetes and education affected the results only slightly. Obese subjects (BMI> or =30 kg/m(2)) had significantly higher cardiovascular and total mortality than the normal weight (18.5< or =BMI<25 kg/m(2)) subjects. Part of increased mortality among obese subjects was mediated through obesity-related cardiovascular risk factors. BMI had an inverse association with cancer mortality among men and almost significant direct association among women. Total mortality was also increased among the lean (BMI<18.5 kg/m(2)) subjects. However, less than 0.3% of deaths were attributed to low body weight, whereas in men 5.5% and in women 17.7% of deaths were attributed to obesity. CONCLUSION: Regular physical activity and normal weight are both important indicators for a decreased risk of mortality from all causes, CVD and cancer. Physical activity had a strong independent effect on mortality, whereas the effect of BMI was partly mediated through other obesity-related risk factors.